Outlook Confirmed at Stable; Ratings Downgrade Reflects Change in Outlook for Industry ProspectsHAMILTON, Bermuda, Nov 21, 2008 (BUSINESS WIRE) -- Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE:AGO) ("Assured" or "the Company") today
issued the following statement from Dominic Frederico, President and
Chief Executive Officer of Assured, in response to the announcement by
Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") that it has downgraded the ratings
of Assured Guaranty Ltd. and its subsidiaries. Moody's also announced
that its ratings outlook for all of Assured's ratings is "stable." The
ratings for Assured Guaranty Corp. and Assured Guaranty (UK) Ltd., the
Company's principal financial guaranty direct subsidiaries, are now Aa2
(stable) by Moody's and AAA (stable) by Standard & Poor's and Fitch
Ratings Inc. while the ratings for Assured Guaranty Re Ltd., the
Company's principal financial guaranty reinsurance company, are rated
Aa3 (stable) by Moody's and AA (stable) by Standard & Poor's and Fitch
Ratings Inc.
Statement by Dominic Frederico, President and Chief Executive Officer
of Assured Guaranty Ltd.:
"We are disheartened by Moody's downgrade of the debt and insurer
financial strength ratings of Assured and its subsidiaries, despite our
best efforts to address each and every concern raised by Moody's during
the review process. In a market environment that requires more measured
and consistent approaches from regulators, legislators and the rating
agencies, Moody's behavior has been counterproductive. Their repeated
and prolonged credit review process has exacerbated investors' fears and
harmed overall financial market credibility which ultimately has created
more uncertainty about the value of our product than was necessary.
"In particular, we believe that Moody's concept of franchise value and
financial flexibility should not factor as strongly in the credit rating
evaluation process. In Moody's current publication on the "Changing
Business of Financial Guaranty Insurance," they state: "Moody's
methodology for rating financial guarantors is designed to assess the
ability of a financial guaranty operating company to pay senior
policyholder claims and obligations in a timely manner." Their
announcement today is clearly focused on their speculative outlook for
financial markets and the near-term demand for financial guaranty
insurance. It is not based on their own analysis of our capital adequacy
and portfolio quality, which are the most important factors for
determining the potential for future claims and our ability settle all
obligations when due. Their actions are especially disappointing given
our recent announcement of our agreement to purchase Financial Security
Assurance Holdings, Ltd., the parent company of Financial Security
Assurance, and the fact that Moody's provided no time for the market to
assimilate the impact of this extremely beneficial combination, which we
expect to close in the first quarter of 2009. The combination of our two
companies will provide investors with better risk diversification,
greater claims paying resources and a larger capital base. These are all
attributes that are in high demand, particularly during these stressful
times.
"Since the announcement of Moody's credit review on July 21, 2008,
Assured has held several meetings with Moody's staff to answer specific
questions about the Company and to review numerous portfolio analyses
and stress cases, including an update on the credit performance and
stress case scenarios for our U.S. residential mortgage backed
securities and pooled corporate portfolios. In addition, we reviewed our
corporate governance processes, single risk limits and portfolio
concentrations. We also discussed our expectations for new business
opportunities and growth in the current challenging market environment
as well as our strategies for different markets as the global financial
markets stabilize. We intend to provide investors with copies of as much
of the information as possible that we provided to Moody's in the course
of their review so that investors will be able to use this information
to draw their own conclusions about Assured's claims paying ability and
fundamental financial strength.
"As a result, we have to conclude that Moody's downgrade of our ratings
is due to their decision to place an inordinate emphasis on their
outlook for near-term industry factors -- which are highly subjective and
in no way certain -- and to de-emphasize their long-standing evaluations
of portfolio credit quality and capitalization. Of utmost importance is
the fact that Moody's made it clear that raising additional capital
would not prevent a ratings downgrade. While we can agree with Moody's
that global market and economic conditions that we are experiencing
today create uncertainty about long-term industry trends, we believe
that it's entirely premature to make ratings judgments about long-term
demand and competitive characteristics for our industry.
"Looking forward, we believe that we remain well positioned to be able
to help the fixed income markets return to stability, in both the public
and structured finance arenas. Despite the market volatility and
uncertainty, Assured has underwritten a record level of new business
production in the U.S. public finance market in 2008, evidence that we
were a beneficiary of the flight to quality and that investors continue
to need and value the credit enhancement and liquidity benefits that
bond insurance provides. Our combination with FSA, which is also
well-known for their underwriting expertise in the financial guaranty
market, will help us continue to fulfill our commitment to investors to
maintain the highest possible ratings for our financial guaranty
subsidiaries. Despite today's downgrade, Assured Guaranty Corp. is still
one of the highest rated financial institutions in the world, and our
merger with FSA will greatly expand our financial resources and market
position. It is clear in our minds that to be a dependable provider of
insurance in this market and going forward, you need to have reliable,
stable, unquestionable balance sheet strengths. Together with FSA, we
will continue to adhere to Assured's core principles: exercising strict
underwriting discipline, expanding the direct franchise, maintaining our
leading reinsurance market position, obtaining and maintaining the
highest possible ratings for our operating subsidiaries and utilizing
our capital efficiently. We also remain committed to operating in both
public and structured finance markets and continuing to protect
investors with our enduring financial strength."
Assured Guaranty Ltd. is a publicly-traded Bermuda-based holding
company. Its operating subsidiaries provide credit enhancement products
to the U.S. and international public finance, structured finance and
mortgage markets. More information on the Company and its subsidiaries
can be found at www.assuredguaranty.com.
Investors and other interested parties can find additional information
on Assured, its financial statements, financial supplement, earnings
press release, financial guaranty profile and financial guaranty direct
structured finance transactions and other materials on the Investor
Information page of the Company's website at http://www.assuredguaranty.com/investor/ltd/financial.aspx.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:
Any forward-looking statements made in this press release reflect the
Company's current views with respect to future events and financial
performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements
involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ
materially from those set forth in these statements. For example, the
Company's forward-looking statements, including capital adequacy and the
growth of the direct business, could be affected by many events. These
events include a significant reduction in the amount of reinsurance
ceded by one or more of our principal ceding companies, rating agency
action such as a ratings downgrade, difficulties with the execution of
the Company's business strategy, contract cancellations, developments or
volatility in the world's financial and capital markets, more severe or
frequent losses associated with products affecting the adequacy of the
Company's loss reserves, more recent information received from
reinsurance clients, changes in regulation or tax laws, governmental
actions, natural catastrophes, the Company's dependence on customers,
decreased demand or increased competition, loss of key personnel,
technological developments, the effects of mergers, acquisitions and
divestitures, changes in accounting policies or practices, changes in
general economic conditions, other risks and uncertainties that have not
been identified at this time, management's response to these factors,
and other risk factors identified in the Company's filings with the
Securities and Exchange Commission. Readers are cautioned not to place
undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as
of the dates on which they are made. The Company undertakes no
obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements,
whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
SOURCE: Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Assured Guaranty Ltd., Hamilton
Equity Investors and Analysts:
Sabra Purtill, CFA, Managing Director,
Global Communications and Investor Relations,
212-408-6044 or 441-299-9375
spurtill@assuredguaranty.com
or
Ross Aron, Associate, Investor Relations, 212-261-5509
raron@assuredguaranty.com
or
Fixed Income Investors:
Michael Walker, Director,
Fixed Income Investor Relations, 212-261-5575
mwalker@assuredguaranty.com
or
Media:
Ashweeta Durani, Vice President, Communications,
212-408-6042
adurani@assuredguaranty.com